Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-08

HOU @ SD

Home plate: Alex MacKay

The plate grew a few inches after the first pitch.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.1% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, SD
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex MacKay called the 135 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 123 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Yordan Alvarez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Christian Vázquez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.301 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Fernando Tatis Jr. vs Peter Lambert
  2. 2+0.204 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Christian Walker vs Michael King
  3. 3+0.139 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Daulton Varsho vs Mason Miller

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Yordan Alvarez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Luis Campusano — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Christian Vázquez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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