Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-08

TOR @ PHI

Home plate: Brennan Miller

The robots earned their keep tonight.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.2% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, PHI
8
ABS Overturns
of 10 reviewed

What this shows — how Brennan Miller called the 207 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 193 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Bryce Harper — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Justin Crawford — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Garrett Stubbs — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7Challenge 8: Davis Schneider — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).8Challenge 9: Garrett Stubbs — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).9Challenge 10: Garrett Stubbs — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).10
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.397 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Kyle Schwarber vs Matt Waldron
  2. 2-0.304 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Josh Smith vs Aaron Nola
  3. 3-0.195 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Nathan Lukes vs Aaron Nola

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

10 pitches went to the robots · 8 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Bryce Harper — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Justin Crawford — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Brandon Valenzuela — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Brandon Valenzuela — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Brandon Valenzuela — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Brandon Valenzuela — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Garrett Stubbs — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  8. 8Davis Schneider — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  9. 9Garrett Stubbs — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  10. 10Garrett Stubbs — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 10 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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