Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-09

HOU @ SD

Home plate: Jacob Metz

The black wasn't in play tonight.

B
Umpire Grade
92.2% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, HOU
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Jacob Metz called the 115 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 106 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: LaMonte Wade Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Manny Machado — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Freddy Fermin — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Freddy Fermin — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Xander Bogaerts — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.208 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Fernando Tatis Jr. vs Bryan King
  2. 2+0.133 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Yordan Alvarez vs Randy Vásquez
  3. 3-0.136 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Yordan Alvarez vs Kyle Hart

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1LaMonte Wade Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Manny Machado — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Freddy Fermin — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Yainer Diaz — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Freddy Fermin — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Xander Bogaerts — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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