Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-10

COL @ AZ

Home plate: Mike Muchlinski

An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.

A
Umpire Grade
95.5% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, COL
0
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Mike Muchlinski called the 155 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 148 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.307 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Nolan Arenado vs Zach Agnos
  2. 2+0.132 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Gabriel Moreno vs Gabriel Hughes
  3. 3+0.134 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Corbin Carroll vs Gabriel Hughes

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 0 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Gabriel Moreno — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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