Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-10

PHI @ STL

Home plate: Louie Krupa

The corners were friendlier in one direction tonight.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.9% accurate
1.2
Run Favor
runs, PHI
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Louie Krupa called the 181 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 170 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jimmy Crooks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Garrett Stubbs — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Garrett Stubbs — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Bryan Torres — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: JJ Wetherholt — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.307 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Garrett Stubbs vs Caleb Ferguson
  2. 2+0.307 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Bryson Stott vs Caleb Ferguson
  3. 3+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Kyle Schwarber vs Hunter Dobbins

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Jimmy Crooks — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Garrett Stubbs — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Garrett Stubbs — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Bryan Torres — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5JJ Wetherholt — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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