Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-11

CIN @ CWS

Home plate: Roberto Ortiz

The Automated Ball-Strike System put in some overtime here.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.4% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, CWS
5
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Roberto Ortiz called the 139 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 127 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Elly De La Cruz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Sal Stewart — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Edgar Quero — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Edgar Quero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Tristan Peters — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.394 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Colson Montgomery vs Nick Lodolo
  2. 2+0.205 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Miguel Vargas vs Luis Mey
  3. 3-0.136 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Ke'Bryan Hayes vs Sean Burke

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Elly De La Cruz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Sal Stewart — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Edgar Quero — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Edgar Quero — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  7. 7Tristan Peters — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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