Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-11

PIT @ MIA

Home plate: Nic Lentz

ABS had a long evening on this one.

B
Umpire Grade
92.5% accurate
1.3
Run Favor
runs, PIT
5
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Nic Lentz called the 120 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 111 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Henry Davis — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Henry Davis — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Joe Mack — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Henry Davis — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Joe Mack — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Ronny Simon — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Griffin Conine — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.696 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Javier Sanoja vs Yohan Ramírez
  2. 2+0.391 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Jake Mangum vs Eury Pérez
  3. 3-0.234 · 0-2 ball called strike
    Owen Caissie vs Paul Skenes

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Henry Davis — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Henry Davis — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Joe Mack — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Henry Davis — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Joe Mack — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Ronny Simon — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  7. 7Griffin Conine — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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