Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-12

BOS @ TOR

Home plate: Willie Traynor

Nothing that'll trend, and on this beat that's a compliment.

A+
Umpire Grade
97.8% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, TOR
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Willie Traynor called the 137 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 134 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.696 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Kazuma Okamoto vs Justin Slaten
  2. 2-0.091 · 0-0 ball called strike
    Vladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Ranger Suarez
  3. 3+0.098 · 0-0 strike called ball
    Kazuma Okamoto vs Tyron Guerrero

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Adley Rutschman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Adley Rutschman — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Adley Rutschman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X