Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-14

BOS @ PIT

Home plate: Ryan Wills

Off the corner was close enough tonight.

B
Umpire Grade
92.9% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, BOS
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Ryan Wills called the 154 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 143 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Henry Davis — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Willson Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Henry Davis — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.214 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Jared Triolo vs Jake Bennett
  2. 2-0.207 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Brandon Lowe vs Alec Gamboa
  3. 3+0.137 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Brandon Lowe vs Alec Gamboa

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Adley Rutschman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Henry Davis — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Willson Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Henry Davis — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Adley Rutschman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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