Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-14

KC @ LAA

Home plate: Dexter Kelley

The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.

A+
Umpire Grade
97.1% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, KC
1
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Dexter Kelley called the 173 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 168 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Bobby Witt Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Denzer Guzman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Nolan Schanuel — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Isaac Collins — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Mike Trout — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.239 · 0-2 ball called strike
    Mike Trout vs Steven Cruz
  2. 2+0.193 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Bobby Witt Jr. vs Grayson Rodriguez
  3. 3-0.091 · 0-0 ball called strike
    Mike Trout vs Seth Lugo

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Bobby Witt Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Denzer Guzman — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Nolan Schanuel — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Isaac Collins — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Mike Trout — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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