Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-15

NYY @ TOR

Home plate: Nic Lentz

The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.3% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, TOR
0
ABS Overturns
of 1 reviewed

What this shows — how Nic Lentz called the 141 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 133 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.287 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Myles Straw vs Paul Blackburn
  2. 2+0.234 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Luis García Jr. vs Simeon Woods Richardson
  3. 3-0.209 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Luis García Jr. vs Louis Varland

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

1 pitch went to the robots · 0 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 1 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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