Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-16

WSH @ NYM

Home plate: Willie Traynor

Called a fair game and let the players decide it.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.8% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, NYM
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Willie Traynor called the 116 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 110 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Abimelec Ortiz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Harry Ford — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Jorge Polanco — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.285 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Luis Robert Jr. vs Jake Irvin
  2. 2-0.104 · 0-1 ball called strike
    Andrés Chaparro vs Christian Scott
  3. 3-0.093 · 0-0 ball called strike
    Bo Bichette vs Jake Irvin

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Abimelec Ortiz — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Harry Ford — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Jorge Polanco — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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