Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-22

STL @ PHI

Home plate: Chris Segal

If umpiring had a highlight reel, this wouldn't make it. That's the compliment.

A
Umpire Grade
95.9% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, PHI
0
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Chris Segal called the 121 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 116 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jimmy Crooks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Bryce Harper — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.391 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Kyle Schwarber vs Quinn Mathews
  2. 2-0.135 · 1-1 ball called strike
    José Fermín vs Andrew Painter
  3. 3+0.106 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Jordan Walker vs Andrew Painter

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 0 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Jimmy Crooks — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Bryce Harper — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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