Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-26

PHI @ SEA

Home plate: Chad Fairchild

“The zone had wings tonight.”

C+
Umpire Grade
90.8% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, PHI
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Chad Fairchild called the 142 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 129 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Kyle Schwarber — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Jhonny Pereda — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Jhonny Pereda — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Jhonny Pereda — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Brandon Marsh — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.28▲8 · 1-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Brandon Marsh vs Carlos Vargas
  2. 2+0.20▲2 · 2-1 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Justin Crawford vs Bryan Woo
  3. 3-0.13▼6 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Taylor Ward vs Jesús Luzardo

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Kyle Schwarber — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Jhonny Pereda — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Jhonny Pereda — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Jhonny Pereda — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Cal Raleigh — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Brandon Marsh — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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