Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-05

LAA @ PIT

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

“You wanted a strike, you had to earn it twice.”

C+
Umpire Grade
90.2% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, LAA
2
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 143 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 129 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Rafael Flores Jr. — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Jake Mangum — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Rafael Flores Jr. — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled). Our tracking puts it on the other side of the line; the grade follows the ruling.3*Challenge 4: Moisés Ballesteros — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Moisés Ballesteros — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Rafael Flores Jr. — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

* Graded on the ABS ruling. ABS measures its own zone, set by the batter’s height and taken at the middle of the plate, and our tracking puts this pitch on the other side of the line.

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▼6 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Esmerlyn Valdez vs Yusei Kikuchi
  2. 2+0.39▲7 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Denzer Guzman vs Isaac Mattson
  3. 3+0.28▲1 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Zach Neto vs Braxton Ashcraft

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Rafael Flores Jr. — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Jake Mangum — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Rafael Flores Jr. — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Moisés Ballesteros — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Moisés Ballesteros — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Rafael Flores Jr. — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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