Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-09

CLE @ BAL

Home plate: David Rackley

“The strike zone picked a side, and wasn't shy about it.”

C+
Umpire Grade
90.7% accurate
1.0
Run Favor
runs, CLE
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how David Rackley called the 150 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 136 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Nathaniel Lowe — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Jo Adell — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.30▼6 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Pete Alonso vs Franco Aleman
  2. 2+0.23▼2 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Rece Hinds vs Foster Griffin
  3. 3-0.23▲9 · 0-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Jo Adell vs Rico Garcia

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Nathaniel Lowe — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Jo Adell — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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