Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-13

CWS @ STL

Home plate: Mike Estabrook

“A workmanlike night — nothing to frame, nothing to fix.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.4% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, STL
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Mike Estabrook called the 136 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 127 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Sam Antonacci — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Kyle Teel — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Kyle Teel — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Iván Herrera — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Miguel Vargas — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Ramón Urías — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▼5 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Leo Bernal vs David Sandlin
  2. 2-0.13▲9 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Andrew Benintendi vs George Soriano
  3. 3-0.13▲6 · 1-0 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Kyle Teel vs Michael McGreevy

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Sam Antonacci — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Kyle Teel — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Kyle Teel — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Iván Herrera — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Miguel Vargas — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Ramón Urías — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 6 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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