Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-13

SEA @ ATH

Home plate: Andy Fletcher

“An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.6% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, SEA
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Andy Fletcher called the 173 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 162 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Josh Naylor — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Michael Arroyo — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Zack Gelof — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Jhonny Pereda — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Jhonny Pereda — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Brian Serven — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.13▲8 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    J.P. Crawford vs Hogan Harris
  2. 2+0.13▲5 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Josh Naylor vs Scott Blewett
  3. 3-0.13▲8 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Jhonny Pereda vs Hogan Harris

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Josh Naylor — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Michael Arroyo — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Zack Gelof — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Jhonny Pereda — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Jhonny Pereda — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Brian Serven — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 6 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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