Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-14

ATL @ CHC

Home plate: Paul Clemons

A few too many trips to the challenge cart.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.8% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, CHC
5
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Paul Clemons called the 158 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 145 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Sean Murphy — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Sean Murphy — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Sean Murphy — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Sean Murphy — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.394 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Seiya Suzuki vs AJ Smith-Shawver
  2. 2+0.218 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Matt Olson vs Ryan Rolison
  3. 3+0.203 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Ronald Acuña Jr. vs David Peterson

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Sean Murphy — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Sean Murphy — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Sean Murphy — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Sean Murphy — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  7. 7Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 7 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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