Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-15

NYY @ MIN

Home plate: Brennan Miller

“Borderline went to the battery all night.”

B-
Umpire Grade
91.1% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, NYY
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Brennan Miller called the 146 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 133 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Josh Bell — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▲6 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    José Caballero vs Bailey Ober
  2. 2+0.21▲6 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Cody Bellinger vs Taylor Rogers
  3. 3-0.13▲8 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Heliot Ramos vs Yoendrys Gómez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Josh Bell — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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