Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-18

ATH @ CLE

Home plate: Junior Valentine

“The zone kept its promises.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.4% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, CLE
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Junior Valentine called the 160 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 151 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Lawrence Butler — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Zack Gelof — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.30▼6 · 3-1 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Brayan Rocchio vs Seth Johnson
  2. 2-0.20▲6 · 2-1 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Lawrence Butler vs Joey Cantillo
  3. 3-0.13▼3 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Nathaniel Lowe vs Mason Barnett

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Lawrence Butler — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Jonah Heim — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Zack Gelof — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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