Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-19

ATH @ CLE

Home plate: Rob Drake

“The robots earned their keep tonight.”

C+
Umpire Grade
90.1% accurate
1.2
Run Favor
runs, CLE
6
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Rob Drake called the 141 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 127 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Donovan Walton — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Henry Bolte — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Jeff McNeil — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Jeff McNeil — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Denzel Clarke — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Austin Hedges — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.39▲4 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Brian Serven vs Tanner Bibee
  2. 2-0.39▲6 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Henry Bolte vs Matt Festa
  3. 3+0.30▼3 · 3-1 strike called ball
    José Ramírez vs Chris Roycroft

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 6 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Donovan Walton — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Henry Bolte — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Jeff McNeil — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Jeff McNeil — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Denzel Clarke — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Austin Hedges — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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