Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-19

NYY @ AZ

Home plate: Alex Tosi

“Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.2% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, NYY
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex Tosi called the 138 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 130 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Ildemaro Vargas — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Ali Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▲5 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Anthony Volpe vs Brandon Pfaadt
  2. 2+0.19▲8 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Luis García Jr. vs Brandyn Garcia
  3. 3+0.13▼3 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Lars Nootbaar vs Cam Schlittler

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Gabriel Moreno — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Gabriel Moreno — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Ildemaro Vargas — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Ali Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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