Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-22

STL @ PIT

Home plate: Ron Kulpa

“A steady night's work behind the plate.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.8% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, PIT
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Ron Kulpa called the 135 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 128 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Leo Bernal — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Rafael Flores Jr. — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Leo Bernal — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.19▲9 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Masyn Winn vs Gregory Soto
  2. 2-0.19▲9 · 2-0 ball called strike
    JJ Wetherholt vs Gregory Soto
  3. 3-0.13▼4 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Ryan O'Hearn vs Andre Pallante

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Leo Bernal — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Rafael Flores Jr. — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Leo Bernal — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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