Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-24

CIN @ ATL

Home plate: Junior Valentine

“Nothing that'll trend, and on this beat that's a compliment.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.1% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, ATL
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Junior Valentine called the 164 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 156 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Sean Murphy — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Sal Stewart — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.30▼7 · 3-1 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Ozzie Albies vs Tejay Antone
  2. 2+0.19▼5 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Austin Riley vs Connor Phillips
  3. 3+0.10▼1 · 0-1 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Ronald Acuña Jr. vs Brady Singer

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Sean Murphy — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Sal Stewart — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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