Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 8 HIT · 12 MISS · 1 OPEN
Support the paperGet the Digest
THE TAPE · 30-NIGHT CARD MOVES VS THE HOBBY · AS OF OCTOBER 4, 2026◆▲ CAM SCHLITTLER — ROOKIE PSA 10 +276% $130◆▲ SAL STEWART — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +174.7% $311◆▲ BRANDON MARSH — ROOKIE PSA 10 +120.5% $20.00◆▲ ETHAN SALAS — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +65.6% $62.09◆▲ BRODY HOPKINS — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +62.8% $125◆▲ JUNIOR CAMINERO — ROOKIE PSA 10 +55.5% $62.13◆▼ TANNER MCDOUGAL — ROOKIE PSA 10 -53.6% $13.00◆▲ BUBBA CHANDLER — ROOKIE PSA 10 +49.4% $52.50◆▼ SHEA LANGELIERS — ROOKIE PSA 10 -46.9% $82.71◆▲ SPENCER JONES — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +41.1% $210◆
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-25

STL @ MIL

Home plate: Stu Scheurwater

“This one went to video review more than most.”

D
Umpire Grade
88.5% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, STL
5
ABS Overturns
of 8 reviewed

What this shows — how Stu Scheurwater called the 166 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 147 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: José Fermín — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Pedro Pagés — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7Challenge 8: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).8
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▲2 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    José Fermín vs Robert Gasser
  2. 2+0.28▲2 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Thomas Saggese vs Robert Gasser
  3. 3+0.20▼5 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Jake Bauers vs Michael McGreevy

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

8 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5José Fermín — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Pedro Pagés — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  7. 7William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  8. 8William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 8 of 8 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X