Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-26

HOU @ ATH

Home plate: Gabe Morales

“An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.9% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, HOU
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Gabe Morales called the 146 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 140 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jose Altuve — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Taylor Trammell — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Christian Walker — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Zack Gelof — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▲6 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Lucas Spence vs Scott Blewett
  2. 2-0.28▲5 · 1-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Taylor Trammell vs Jack Perkins
  3. 3+0.28▲5 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Yordan Alvarez vs Jack Perkins

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Jose Altuve — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Taylor Trammell — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Christian Walker — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Jonah Heim — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Zack Gelof — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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