Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-10-03

CWS @ CLE

Home plate: Cory Blaser

“Two dugouts, and only one of them smiling.”

D
Umpire Grade
87.2% accurate
1.1
Run Favor
runs, CWS
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Cory Blaser called the 156 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 136 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Kyle Teel — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Austin Hedges — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Miguel Vargas — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Kyle Teel — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Kyle Teel — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▲3 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Randal Grichuk vs Parker Messick
  2. 2+0.69▲4 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Tommy Pham vs Parker Messick
  3. 3+0.39▲1 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Miguel Vargas vs Parker Messick

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Kyle Teel — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Austin Hedges — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Miguel Vargas — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Kyle Teel — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Kyle Teel — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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