Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-03-27

NYY @ SF

Home plate: Chad Fairchild

An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.

A
Umpire Grade
95.7% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, SF
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Chad Fairchild called the 139 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 133 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Aaron Judge — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.231 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Rafael Devers vs Cam Schlittler
  2. 2-0.216 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Jazz Chisholm Jr. vs José Buttó
  3. 3-0.219 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Trent Grisham vs Matt Gage

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Aaron Judge — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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