Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-03-30

PIT @ CIN

Home plate: Junior Valentine

“An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.2% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, CIN
2
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Junior Valentine called the 153 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 141 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Henry Davis — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Ke'Bryan Hayes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▼1 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Elly De La Cruz vs Braxton Ashcraft
  2. 2+0.30▼4 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Sal Stewart vs Braxton Ashcraft
  3. 3-0.30▲9 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Ryan O'Hearn vs Connor Phillips

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Henry Davis — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Ke'Bryan Hayes — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.