Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-03-30

WSH @ PHI

Home plate: Nick Mahrley

“A steady night's work behind the plate.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.8% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, PHI
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Nick Mahrley called the 165 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 158 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Drew Millas — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Kyle Schwarber — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Adolis García — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.30▲5 · 3-1 ball called strike
    James Wood vs Taijuan Walker
  2. 2-0.09▲2 · 0-0 ball called strike
    Brady House vs Taijuan Walker
  3. 3+0.09▼2 · 0-0 strike called ball
    Otto Kemp vs Foster Griffin

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Drew Millas — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Kyle Schwarber — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Adolis García — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.