Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-04

PHI @ COL

Home plate: Alex Tosi

The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.7% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, PHI
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex Tosi called the 132 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 125 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: J.T. Realmuto — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Ezequiel Tovar — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Brett Sullivan — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Brett Sullivan — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Jesús Luzardo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.693 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Kyle Schwarber vs Chase Dollander
  2. 2-0.392 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged
    J.T. Realmuto vs Jimmy Herget
  3. 3+0.306 · 3-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Hunter Goodman vs Jesús Luzardo

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1J.T. Realmuto — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Ezequiel Tovar — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Brett Sullivan — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Brett Sullivan — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Jesús Luzardo — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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