Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-07

STL @ WSH

Home plate: Derek Thomas

“Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.3% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, WSH
1
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Derek Thomas called the 208 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 194 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Pedro Pagés — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Jordan Walker — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Keibert Ruiz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Keibert Ruiz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Pedro Pagés — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▲4 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Pedro Pagés vs Cade Cavalli
  2. 2+0.28▼8 · 1-2 strike called ball
    James Wood vs George Soriano
  3. 3+0.23▼9 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Luis García Jr. vs George Soriano

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Pedro Pagés — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Jordan Walker — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Keibert Ruiz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Keibert Ruiz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Pedro Pagés — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.