Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-09

ATH @ NYY

Home plate: Nate Tomlinson

“The zone kept to itself — the hitters said thanks.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.3% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, NYY
1
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Nate Tomlinson called the 124 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 117 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: José Caballero — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Lawrence Butler — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Austin Wynns — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Cody Bellinger — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Austin Wynns — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.28▲9 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Max Muncy vs Paul Blackburn
  2. 2+0.21▼3 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Amed Rosario vs Jeffrey Springs
  3. 3+0.13▼2 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Randal Grichuk vs Jeffrey Springs

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1José Caballero — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Lawrence Butler — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Austin Wynns — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Cody Bellinger — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Austin Wynns — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.