Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-10

NYY @ TB

Home plate: Mark Ripperger

Called a fair game and let the players decide it.

A
Umpire Grade
95.8% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, NYY
1
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Mark Ripperger called the 166 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 159 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Jazz Chisholm Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: José Caballero — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.393 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Aaron Judge vs Steven Matz
  2. 2+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Giancarlo Stanton vs Steven Matz
  3. 3+0.131 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Junior Caminero vs Luis Gil

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Jazz Chisholm Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3José Caballero — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Nick Fortes — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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