Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-14

LAA @ NYY

Home plate: Ryan Wills

The zone shrank when the pitchers needed it most.

C
Umpire Grade
89.5% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, NYY
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Ryan Wills called the 171 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 153 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Oswald Peraza — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.398 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Oswald Peraza vs Yerry De los Santos
  2. 2+0.236 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Zach Neto vs Paul Blackburn
  3. 3-0.211 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Aaron Judge vs Reid Detmers

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Oswald Peraza — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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