Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-16

SF @ CIN

Home plate: Junior Valentine

Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.7% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, SF
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Junior Valentine called the 158 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 148 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: P.J. Higgins — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Rafael Devers — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.396 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Patrick Bailey vs Chase Burns
  2. 2+0.139 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Dane Myers vs Erik Miller
  3. 3-0.131 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Matt McLain vs Landen Roupp

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1P.J. Higgins — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Rafael Devers — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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