Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-18

ATL @ PHI

Home plate: James Hoye

“Nothing off the plate, and not much on the black either.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.5% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, ATL
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how James Hoye called the 139 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 130 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jorge Mateo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Ronald Acuña Jr. — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Matt Olson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Rafael Marchán — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.23▲2 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Mauricio Dubón vs Cristopher Sánchez
  2. 2+0.21▲3 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Matt Olson vs Cristopher Sánchez
  3. 3-0.19▼3 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Kyle Schwarber vs Chris Sale

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Jorge Mateo — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Ronald Acuña Jr. — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Matt Olson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Jonah Heim — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Rafael Marchán — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.