Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-19

TOR @ AZ

Home plate: Roberto Ortiz

The corners were friendlier in one direction tonight.

D
Umpire Grade
87.6% accurate
1.3
Run Favor
runs, TOR
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Roberto Ortiz called the 137 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 120 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Myles Straw — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: James McCann — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: James McCann — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.393 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Brandon Valenzuela vs Andrew Hoffmann
  2. 2+0.394 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Jesús Sánchez vs Brandon Pfaadt
  3. 3+0.231 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Vladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Ryne Nelson

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Brandon Valenzuela — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Myles Straw — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3James McCann — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4James McCann — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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