Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-21

NYY @ BOS

Home plate: Austin Jones

Textbook top to bottom — a quiet masterclass.

A
Umpire Grade
96.3% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, NYY
1
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Austin Jones called the 160 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 154 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Aaron Judge — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: José Caballero — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Caleb Durbin — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Caleb Durbin — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.136 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Ben Rice vs Connelly Early
  2. 2-0.133 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Masataka Yoshida vs Luis Gil
  3. 3+0.091 · 0-0 strike called ball
    Aaron Judge vs Connelly Early

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Aaron Judge — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2José Caballero — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Caleb Durbin — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Caleb Durbin — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.