Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-24

NYY @ HOU

Home plate: Adam Beck

The zone kept its promises.

A
Umpire Grade
96.7% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, HOU
4
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Adam Beck called the 184 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 178 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Aaron Judge — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: J.C. Escarra — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: J.C. Escarra — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Jazz Chisholm Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: J.C. Escarra — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.396 · 2-2 strike called ball
    J.C. Escarra vs Colton Gordon
  2. 2-0.202 · 2-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Aaron Judge vs Lance McCullers Jr.
  3. 3-0.207 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Ryan McMahon vs Colton Gordon

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Aaron Judge — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4J.C. Escarra — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5J.C. Escarra — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Jazz Chisholm Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  7. 7J.C. Escarra — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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