Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-05

LAD @ HOU

Home plate: Shane Livensparger

“An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.9% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, LAD
2
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Shane Livensparger called the 118 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 112 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Will Smith — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Miguel Rojas — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.19▼6 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Yordan Alvarez vs Shohei Ohtani
  2. 2+0.13▼3 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Nick Allen vs Shohei Ohtani
  3. 3-0.10▲9 · 0-1 ball called strike
    Santiago Espinal vs Bryan King

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Will Smith — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Miguel Rojas — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.