Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-07

MIN @ WSH

Home plate: Nate Tomlinson

“A small strike zone, generously enforced for the offense.”

B-
Umpire Grade
91.5% accurate
0.9
Run Favor
runs, MIN
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Nate Tomlinson called the 152 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 139 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Austin Martin — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: James Wood — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▲6 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Luke Keaschall vs Richard Lovelady
  2. 2+0.13▼5 · 1-1 strike called ball
    José Tena vs Simeon Woods Richardson
  3. 3+0.13▼5 · 1-1 strike called ball
    CJ Abrams vs Anthony Banda

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Austin Martin — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2James Wood — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Ryan Jeffers — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Ryan Jeffers — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.