Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-07

STL @ SD

Home plate: Alex Tosi

An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.

B
Umpire Grade
92.7% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, STL
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex Tosi called the 124 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 115 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Ramón Laureano — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Pedro Pagés — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.301 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Alec Burleson vs Michael King
  2. 2+0.215 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Ramón Laureano vs Matthew Liberatore
  3. 3+0.131 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Iván Herrera vs Michael King

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Ramón Laureano — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Pedro Pagés — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.