Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-08

COL @ PHI

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.

B
Umpire Grade
92.9% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, PHI
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 198 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 184 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: J.T. Realmuto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Kyle Schwarber vs Chase Dollander
  2. 2+0.193 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Justin Crawford vs Chase Dollander
  3. 3+0.196 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Bryson Stott vs Jaden Hill

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2J.T. Realmuto — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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