Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-13

KC @ CWS

Home plate: Jen Pawol

“Nothing off the plate, and not much on the black either.”

C+
Umpire Grade
90.5% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, KC
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Jen Pawol called the 179 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 162 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Chase Meidroth — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Salvador Perez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Drew Romo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Elias Díaz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Elias Díaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▼8 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Miguel Vargas vs Alex Lange
  2. 2+0.20▼1 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Munetaka Murakami vs Seth Lugo
  3. 3+0.20▼2 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Andrew Benintendi vs Seth Lugo

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Chase Meidroth — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Salvador Perez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Drew Romo — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Elias Díaz — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Elias Díaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.