Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-24

PIT @ TOR

Home plate: Willie Traynor

Two dugouts, and only one of them smiling.

B
Umpire Grade
92.1% accurate
1.2
Run Favor
runs, TOR
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Willie Traynor called the 165 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 152 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Andrés Giménez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Endy Rodríguez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Endy Rodríguez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.393 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Oneil Cruz vs Dylan Cease
  2. 2-0.395 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Nick Gonzales vs Mason Fluharty
  3. 3-0.215 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Brandon Valenzuela vs Mitch Keller

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Andrés Giménez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Endy Rodríguez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Endy Rodríguez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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