Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-11

TEX @ KC

Home plate: Chris Segal

A workmanlike night — nothing to frame, nothing to fix.

A
Umpire Grade
95.1% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, KC
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Chris Segal called the 142 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 135 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jake Burger — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Elias Díaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Elias Díaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Nicky Lopez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Elias Díaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.288 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Vinnie Pasquantino vs Jacob Latz
  2. 2-0.135 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Vinnie Pasquantino vs Robby Ahlstrom
  3. 3+0.137 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Kameron Misner vs Cole Winn

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Jake Burger — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Elias Díaz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Elias Díaz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Nicky Lopez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Elias Díaz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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