Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-13

MIA @ PIT

Home plate: Rob Drake

“If it was close, it was a strike. The hitters noticed.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.7% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, MIA
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Rob Drake called the 151 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 140 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Heriberto Hernández — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Spencer Horwitz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Leo Jiménez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.30▼8 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Brandon Lowe vs Anthony Bender
  2. 2+0.23▲8 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Leo Jiménez vs Yohan Ramírez
  3. 3-0.13▲6 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Otto Lopez vs Bubba Chandler

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Heriberto Hernández — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Spencer Horwitz — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Leo Jiménez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.