Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-16

TB @ LAD

Home plate: Dan Bellino

A small strike zone, generously enforced for the offense.

D
Umpire Grade
85.7% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, LAD
4
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Bellino called the 98 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 84 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Shohei Ohtani — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Ryan Vilade — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Chuckie Robinson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.131 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Andy Pages vs Drew Rasmussen
  2. 2+0.131 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Freddie Freeman vs Drew Rasmussen
  3. 3-0.133 · 1-0 ball called strike· challenged
    Shohei Ohtani vs Drew Rasmussen

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Shohei Ohtani — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Ryan Vilade — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Chuckie Robinson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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